This is all very interesting, and indeed thought provoking.
Despite being in Tech/Telecom world, until Twitter, I never read any blogs, and this world and @FredWilson was not in my B2B business world at all. & we are multi-billion mobile telecoms infrastructure world.
Your post will inspire me to spend more time on writing more decent 'blog' (yes I have one reluctantly but never wrote much on it) I personally not really see in the next year or so, joe blog/grandma will join this information cloud in our present meaning/structure.
there is a convergence going on. but I think the ultimate success might exactly be another black swan (not that I am supportive of the argument of the book), which comes from an unexpected party/business world.
But I firmly believe it will encompass one, hopefully all of these key aspects:
1.) Trust (up to PGP type of security, [not wishy washy types of username & password available now] on ID, to transit to tagging, transit of information/data)
2.) Reverse of the value chain (not search, not listing, but in fact DRIVEN by aggregated customers (B2B/B2C) requirements
3.) 100% pervasive (not ONLY limited to early adopters, technologist, but plain old grandma who can read/write/use tv remote) and not only from connected Mac/PC/TV or iPhone.
The future might or might not be free but we will be happy to pay for a service that 'we' value for that moment in time (via whatever channel, be it TV/Mobile/ATM/even god forbid post office!).
BR
@GarethWong
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